2020-03-12 | Subject | Alexander the Great
We really are in a self-correcting system. There is enough DNA and creatures and life smeared around this fabulous blue ball... who knows what will happen. Yes, it will be extremely unlikely we can move agriculture fast enough to support our populations, particularly with the broad array of negative externalities that are in motion (bees, loss of fertile land, flooding, extreme weather events). True, cognitively, humans don't do particularly well at considering complex dynamic systems. There are generally two teams (us and them using at most two methods).
Where are we as a species? We appear to be tracking the World3 model, and others. Of course, as our population goes down it will be because of the crisis of the day, marketed to us in a way to buy something. We will continue to think in terms of teams. What can help break out of our cognitive limits? We use models to break out, but models we grok end-to-end, and are able to choose and able to discern limitations to. Likely we won't stress end-to-end agile modeling until severe crisis is upon us and the true meaning of resilience is visceral.
We all use models constantly, now. Language is a model. We have deep archetypes (house in dreams, Medusa, etc.) that serve as models for all in our unconscious mind. We render all models in our bioware, and every human renders differently. This makes collaboration difficult, so we often fall back to our two team model and leave the serious work to cloud overlords (which has a ruleset of profit above all in their AI).
Here is what is really interesting: translating models into a common ontology that renders the same, gives us a way to collaborate, investigate, and build upon models of any dimension, and with the same meaning. No longer do we need a dictator to get us out of extreme crisis, to break the problem of governance by committee by different bio-rendering. We can decide where we are, where we want to go, how to get there and map it.
There is some time between now and when that will be needed. We are still in the two team mode with tools of ball, bat, and glove. I never thought about it before today, but football has just one tool, a ball. You can't really catch a baseball in a baseball game without a glove. I think that is different than overall protective gear. You don't have to wear a catcher's mask, but you do have to have a glove. As a kid that was a milestone... when you owned a baseball glove. So, cognitively football is easier than baseball or polo... wow, polo has the player, the horse, the ball, a mallet... the extra dimension of the horse is huge.cognition